Indy Eleven 2-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.01
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.1 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Detroit City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 0.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 383
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
04.05.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-2 HT 1-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
12.10.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
23.05.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-0 HT 3-0 Detroit City Detroit City ABDK
31.03.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-2 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
01.10.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
2-1
AWAY Detroit City
2.13 xG 2.34
29% Ball Possession 71%
18 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
87 Passes 368
50% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven nicked a narrow win over Detroit City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 29% of the ball to Detroit City's 71%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 2.13 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.83 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Indy Eleven 2-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 40%, draw 28%, Detroit City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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