Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charleston Battery v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Charleston Battery 3-2 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Charleston Battery nicked a narrow win over Birmingham Legion 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Charleston Battery had 57% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 43%, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 6.03 to 1.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charleston Battery's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charleston Battery and 0.33 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
Charleston Battery 3-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 63%, draw 20%, Birmingham Legion 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.