Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies swept aside Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 44% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 56%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 1.97 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.17 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 41%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.