FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
FC Tulsa 3-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa edged past Las Vegas Lights 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 35% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 65%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.01 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
FC Tulsa 3-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 56%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.