San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
San Antonio v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio squeezed past New Mexico United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; San Antonio found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in San Antonio's favour, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.77.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for San Antonio against 2.33 for New Mexico United.
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
San Antonio 1 - 0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 40%, draw 29%, New Mexico United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.