San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio squeezed past New Mexico United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; San Antonio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Antonio had 53% of the ball to New Mexico United's 47%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Antonio and 2.33 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 40%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.