Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
6+ Goals
13%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Consadole Sapporo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 34% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 66%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Consadole Sapporo?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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