Aparecidense vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aparecidense v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Aparecidense vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Aparecidense 1-4 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense cruised past Aparecidense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aparecidense had 52% of the ball to Fluminense's 48%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.23 to 1.34.
What was the final score of Aparecidense vs Fluminense?
Aparecidense 1-4 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aparecidense vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aparecidense 23%, draw 28%, Fluminense 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.