Flamengo 4-2 Botafogo PB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-19.3pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo PB EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.60/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.22
+8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
19.8 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botafogo PB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.26 xG 0.22
76% Ball Possession 24%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
613 Passes 147
92% Pass Accuracy 71%
54 Box Touches 5
39 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2025 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
4-2
AWAY Botafogo PB
1.29 xG 1.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
643 Passes 235
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Botafogo PB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo saw off Botafogo PB 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Flamengo had 70% of the ball to Botafogo PB's 30%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.29 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Botafogo PB?

Flamengo 4-2 Botafogo PB in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Botafogo PB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 61%, draw 20%, Botafogo PB 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
22 May 2025
01:00 Fortaleza vs Retro Analysis →
01:30 Aparecidense vs Fluminense Analysis →
01:30 Bahia vs Paysandu Analysis →
03:30 Atletico Mineiro vs Maringa Analysis →
03:30 Corinthians vs Novorizontino Analysis →