Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Maringa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Maringa EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.55/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/8.00
+20% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -75%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maringa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
197 Passes 114
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2025 Maringa Maringa 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
4-0
AWAY Maringa
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 Passes 118
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Maringa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro cruised past Maringa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 65% of the ball to Maringa's 35%, shots finished 22-10.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Maringa?

Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Maringa in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Maringa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 63%, draw 21%, Maringa 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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