Corinthians 1-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
20.03.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
09.05.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU
08.03.2020 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
10.02.2019 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
05.02.2018 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-0
AWAY Novorizontino
0.56 xG 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
435 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 4
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Corinthians had 59% of the ball to Novorizontino's 41%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.50 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Novorizontino?

Corinthians 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 47%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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