Corinthians vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BREPAU
2-1
HT 1-0
Novorizontino
BREPAU
1-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
1-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
Corinthians 1-0 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Corinthians had 59% of the ball to Novorizontino's 41%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.50 for Novorizontino.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Novorizontino?
Corinthians 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 47%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.