Fortaleza vs Retro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fortaleza v Retro — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Retro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Fortaleza 1-1 Retro — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza and Retro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortaleza at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Fortaleza's favour, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.11 to 1.29.
Fortaleza vs Retro Result & Final Score
Fortaleza 1 - 1 Retro in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fortaleza vs Retro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 73%, draw 17%, Retro 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.