Fortaleza vs Retro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Retro — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Retro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Fortaleza 1-1 Retro — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza and Retro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Fortaleza had 59% of the ball to Retro's 41%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.11 to 1.29.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Retro?
Fortaleza 1-1 Retro in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Retro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 54%, draw 26%, Retro 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza), BTTS No went the other way.