Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Keflavik v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Keflavik 1-0 Thor Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Keflavik squeezed past Thor Akureyri 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Keflavik had 54% of the ball to Thor Akureyri's 46%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.35 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Thor Akureyri.
What was the final score of Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Keflavik 1-0 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 64%, draw 16%, Thor Akureyri 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.