KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KA Akureyri 0-1 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
Valur squeezed past KA Akureyri 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 51% of the ball to Valur's 49%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.83 for Valur.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Valur?
KA Akureyri 0-1 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 35%, draw 22%, Valur 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.