Stjarnan 0-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
33%
4-5
31%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.2pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik The Market 40%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.91/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.41
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
19.9 Crosses 27.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.81 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
380 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
20.10.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
06.08.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
06.08.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Stjarnan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stjarnan and 1.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 0-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 37%, draw 19%, Fram Reykjavik 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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