Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
8%
5.67
X/2
12%
5.58
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.19/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
18.5 Crosses 21.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 Passes 206
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-2 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
23.04.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-3 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
01.10.2022 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
23.04.2022 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
10.04.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 2-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
02.03.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
3-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu cruised past Kyoto Sanga 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Sagan Tosu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 43% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 57%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.67 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 35%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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