Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Shamrock Rovers v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned Shamrock Rovers at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Shamrock Rovers had 63% of the ball to Derry City's 37%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.45 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.83 for Derry City.
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Shamrock Rovers 1 - 1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 53%, draw 28%, Derry City 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.