Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-0 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past Shamrock Rovers 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Derry City had 44% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Shamrock Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City 1-0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Derry City 30%, draw 29%, Shamrock Rovers 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS Yes went the other way.