Shelbourne 3-4 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.5
2/2
8%
8.33
2/X
8%
16.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.68/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.42
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 65%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.0 Crosses 17.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 0.54
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
577 Passes 147
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2026 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
22.09.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
19.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
18.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 2-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
07.03.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
3-4
AWAY Drogheda United
1.86 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
259 Passes 156
71% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Shelbourne 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Shelbourne carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 57% of the ball to Drogheda United's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.86 to 1.22 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shelbourne and 1.00 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Shelbourne 3-4 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 56%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 21%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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