Waterford FC 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.71
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.63
X/2
16%
5.04
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.08
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.22/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.05
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
22.9 Crosses 26.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Galway United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 198
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2026 Galway United Galway United 4-3 HT 2-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
25.07.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-4 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
09.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
27.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-1
AWAY Galway United
0.84 xG 2.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 16
183 Passes 254
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 42
18 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC and Galway United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 43% of the ball to Galway United's 57%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.84 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Waterford FC and 1.67 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Waterford FC 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 35%, draw 25%, Galway United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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