St Patricks 3-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.25
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
18%
5.04
X/2
11%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.01
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.83
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.03/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.03
-43% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.0 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
291 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Bohemians Bohemians 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.10.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.07.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
25.04.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
14.03.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
14.10.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-3 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-1
AWAY Bohemians
1.26 xG 1.08
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
248 Passes 452
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks saw off Bohemians 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 39% of the ball to Bohemians's 61%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.26 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 0.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Bohemians?

St Patricks 3-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 46%, draw 23%, Bohemians 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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