Cruz Azul 2-1 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.92/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.77
-8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.2 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Puebla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.87 xG 0.66
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
462 Passes 222
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.01.2026 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.11.2025 Puebla Puebla 0-3 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
26.01.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.10.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.04.2024 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.11.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-1
AWAY Puebla
1.38 xG 0.90
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
506 Passes 212
22 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul squeezed past Puebla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.67 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?

Cruz Azul 2-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 67%, draw 19%, Puebla 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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