Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.56
Over
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.38
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
23%
5.06
6+
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
11%
5.66
X/X
19%
3.77
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.46
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln Red Imps The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC The Market 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln Red Imps
2-1
AWAY Larne FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln Red Imps edged past Larne FC 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Lincoln Red Imps found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln Red Imps had 51% of the ball to Larne FC's 49%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne FC?

Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 Larne FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln Red Imps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lincoln Red Imps 38%, draw 35%, Larne FC 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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