CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
CSKA Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CSKA Moskova 3-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, CSKA Moskova had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 46%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.20 to 1.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Result & Final Score
CSKA Moskova 3 - 2 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 22/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 50%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.