Colorado Rapids 2-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.84
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
9%
3.87
X/2
7%
12.1
X/X
13%
6.62
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
9%
8.66
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.67/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.79
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.1 Crosses 11.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
339 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
16.09.2019 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
14.04.2018 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
28.02.2018 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids CON
21.02.2018 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-2 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC CON
23.07.2017 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
2-0
AWAY Toronto FC
2.75 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 273
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids got the better of Toronto FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 56% of the ball to Toronto FC's 44%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.75 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toronto FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.00 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC?

Colorado Rapids 2-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 51%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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