AAC/SF 1-2 Atl. Arcos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAC/SF EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atl. Arcos EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAC/SF
1-2
AWAY Atl. Arcos
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AAC/SF vs Atl. Arcos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atl. Arcos squeezed past AAC/SF 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atl. Arcos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AAC/SF had 55% of the ball to Atl. Arcos's 45%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of AAC/SF vs Atl. Arcos?

AAC/SF 1-2 Atl. Arcos in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAC/SF vs Atl. Arcos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atl. Arcos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AAC/SF 29%, draw 26%, Atl. Arcos 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atl. Arcos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atl. Arcos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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