22/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Brito vs Operario Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
28%
38%
Away Win
30%
51%
Under 2.5
59%
49%
Over 2.5
41%
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
48%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brito v Operario — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brito
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Operario
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
323 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
331 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Brito vs Operario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brito and Operario played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Brito vs Operario?
Brito 0-0 Operario in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brito vs Operario?
Before kick-off our model rated an Operario win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brito 35%, draw 27%, Operario 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Operario), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Operario)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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POK
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22 Sep 2024