Guarda vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guarda v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Guarda 0-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Leixoes nicked a narrow win over Guarda 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Guarda had 43% of the ball to Leixoes's 57%, shots finished 10-12.
What was the final score of Guarda vs Leixoes?
Guarda 0-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guarda vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guarda 23%, draw 19%, Leixoes 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.