22/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Os Limianos vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
31%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
24%
Draw
23%
53%
Away Win
63%
53%
Under 2.5
48%
47%
Over 2.5
52%
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
52%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Os Limianos v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Os Limianos
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chaves
EU Bookmakers 67%
+15% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-41% /
-41%
2.14/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.84/1.95
+133%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
-58%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
251 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
439 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Os Limianos vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chaves saw off Os Limianos 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Os Limianos vs Chaves?
Os Limianos 0-2 Chaves in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Os Limianos vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Os Limianos 23%, draw 24%, Chaves 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Chaves)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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POK
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22 Sep 2024