Sintrense 2-1 Estrela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sintrense EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
487 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sintrense
2-1
AWAY Estrela
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sintrense vs Estrela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sintrense squeezed past Estrela 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sintrense as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sintrense had 60% of the ball to Estrela's 40%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Sintrense vs Estrela?

Sintrense 2-1 Estrela in the Portugal - Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sintrense vs Estrela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sintrense win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sintrense 63%, draw 18%, Estrela 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sintrense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sintrense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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