Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa saw off Bologna 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Aston Villa had 53% of the ball to Bologna's 47%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.24 to 0.86.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Bologna?
Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 48%, draw 27%, Bologna 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.