Monaco vs Kızılyıldız Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Kızılyıldız — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Kızılyıldız Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Kızılyıldız
AVL
0-1
HT 0-0
Monaco
AVL
Monaco 5-1 Kızılyıldız — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco cruised past Kızılyıldız 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Monaco had 70% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 30%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.33 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Monaco and 0.50 for Kızılyıldız.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Kızılyıldız?
Monaco 5-1 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Kızılyıldız?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Monaco 52%, draw 21%, Kızılyıldız 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.