Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
1.9
Over Pick
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
19%
3.35
2-3
44%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.53
6+
13%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.53 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
9%
7.26
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1
14%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.29
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 14% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-9.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+9.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart The Market 30%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.85/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.87
-45% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +74%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-1
AWAY Stuttgart
0.25 xG 2.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
367 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart edged past Juventus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus had 49% of the ball to Stuttgart's 51%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.25 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stuttgart's control.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Stuttgart?

Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juventus 44%, draw 27%, Stuttgart 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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