Milan 3-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.34
2-3
39%
1.99
4-5
26%
2.68
6+
12%
6.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.34 — our 23% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.0
X/1
21%
3.75
X/2
8%
14.6
X/X
9%
7.35
2/1
10%
20.2
2/2
8%
10.4
2/X
8%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Milan win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge The Market 18%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.78/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
+69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.0 Crosses 9.9
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
3-1
AWAY Club Brugge
1.22 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
634 Passes 361
95% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan beat Club Brugge 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Milan had 62% of the ball to Club Brugge's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Milan vs Club Brugge?

Milan 3-1 Club Brugge in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Milan 55%, draw 23%, Club Brugge 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
22 Oct 2024
19:45 Monaco vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
22:00 Girona vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →
22:00 PSG vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →
22:00 Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
22:00 Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP Analysis →
22:00 Juventus vs Stuttgart Analysis →