Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
AVL
1-2
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
AVL
Sturm Graz 0-2 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP got the better of Sturm Graz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 40% of the ball to Sporting CP's 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.45.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sturm Graz and 2.50 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP?
Sturm Graz 0-2 Sporting CP in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 27%, draw 27%, Sporting CP 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.