Girona 2-0 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.63
Over
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
6.19
2-3
44%
2.09
4-5
20%
2.55
6+
12%
5.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.19 — our 24% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.39
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
11%
3.52
X/2
5%
24.0
X/X
15%
9.6
2/1
5%
21.45
2/2
7%
17.1
2/X
3%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Girona win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
74%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.2pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava The Market 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 12.2
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2-0
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
1.72 xG 0.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
505 Passes 250
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Girona vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona got the better of Slovan Bratislava 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Girona had 64% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 36%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Girona vs Slovan Bratislava?

Girona 2-0 Slovan Bratislava in the Champions League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Girona 61%, draw 23%, Slovan Bratislava 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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