Inter Turku 2-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.25
2-3 Goals
41%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.66
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
13%
4.16
X/2
7%
14.3
X/X
6%
8.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.55
2/2
6%
10.45
2/X
9%
18.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.55 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.30/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.76
+16% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.3 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
360 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 0-2 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
27.06.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.04.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
15.02.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
19.10.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
22.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-1
AWAY Gnistan
2.49 xG 0.46
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
532 Passes 164
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
44 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku nicked a narrow win over Gnistan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter Turku had 73% of the ball to Gnistan's 27%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.49 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Turku's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Inter Turku 2-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 60%, draw 21%, Gnistan 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
22 Oct 2025
19:00 HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →