Gnistan 0-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
9%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.35
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
9%
9.2
X/2
15%
4.52
X/X
8%
6.22
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.15
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.35 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 58%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.86
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
18.2 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.87 xG 1.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
253 Passes 395
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.04.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
15.02.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
19.10.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
22.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
06.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-2
AWAY Inter Turku
0.46 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
314 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku beat Gnistan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gnistan had 54% of the ball to Inter Turku's 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gnistan and 2.17 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Inter Turku?

Gnistan 0-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 25%, draw 21%, Inter Turku 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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