SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.52
2-3 Goals
39%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.21
1/2
6%
19.75
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
15%
7.24
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.45
X/X
8%
6.36
2/1
5%
24.95
2/2
19%
2.73
2/X
7%
12.05
Value flag · X/2 at 5.45 — our 21% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.22
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.6 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.93 xG 1.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
378 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-2 HT 3-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
11.04.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
14.09.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
07.06.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
24.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
24.09.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-3
AWAY HJK Helsinki
3.11 xG 2.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
313 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki and HJK Helsinki shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 47% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 53%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 3.11 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.67 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki?

SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 31%, draw 22%, HJK Helsinki 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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