IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
48%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.86 — our 48% vs market 47.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.14
1/2
6%
24.1
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.36
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
29%
3.18
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.48/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.6 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
12.04.2025 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.02.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
07.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1-1
AWAY Haka
0.72 xG 2.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
347 Passes 173
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and Haka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 62% of the ball to Haka's 38%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.72 to 2.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for Haka.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 32%, draw 24%, Haka 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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