Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.8pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
0.64/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.91
+5% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
15.7 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.60 xG 2.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
291 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
27.06.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav HAZ
13.04.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
10.11.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
18.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-5 HT 0-3 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.22 xG 2.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
332 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Mlada Boleslav 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 48% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 52%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.22 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.50 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 19%, draw 18%, Sparta Prag 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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