Samgurali 2-4 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.02/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.10
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 6-2 HT 3-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
05.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.12.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
26.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
2-4
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi got the better of Samgurali 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samgurali had 41% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 59%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 2.17 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Samgurali 2-4 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 30%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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