Torpedo Kutaisi 6-2 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.55/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.70
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
05.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.12.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
26.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
11.04.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
6-2
AWAY Samgurali
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi ran out comfortable winners over Samgurali 6-2. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 72% of the ball to Samgurali's 28%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.83 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Torpedo Kutaisi 6-2 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 59%, draw 24%, Samgurali 16%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
13 Sep 2025
18:00 Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra Analysis →
19:00 Telavi vs Gareji Analysis →