Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.2pp
38%
Draw
29%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gagra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
05.04.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
08.12.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
01.06.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
0-1
AWAY Gagra
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 38% / 21%) promised a tight game; Gagra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 39% of the ball to Gagra's 61%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.33 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 41%, draw 38%, Gagra 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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