Rijeka 5-0 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.09
+21% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.1 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
5-0
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.95 xG 0.97
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
145 Passes 423
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka swept aside Hajduk Split 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Rijeka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 31% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 69%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.17 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

Rijeka 5-0 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 36%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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