Rio Ave U23 3-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Dec 2025

📅22/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.53/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leixoes U23
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 3-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
25.03.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
11.02.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
26.11.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
28.08.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
04.03.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 3-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
3-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 beat Leixoes U23 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 42% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 58%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.50 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Rio Ave U23 3-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 34%, draw 30%, Leixoes U23 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leixoes U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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