Bodo / Glimt 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.43
Over Pick
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
14%
5.04
2-3
39%
1.95
4-5
31%
2.63
6+
16%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
24%
4.48
X/2
7%
10.8
X/X
7%
6.29
2/1
8%
19.75
2/2
9%
7.7
2/X
4%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo / Glimt The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv The Market 22%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.69/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/2.53
-37% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
40.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.0 Crosses 11.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo / Glimt
3-1
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.95 xG 0.70
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
654 Passes 234
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodo / Glimt vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo / Glimt saw off Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodo / Glimt as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Bodo / Glimt had 71% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 29%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.95 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Bodo / Glimt 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo / Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt 57%, draw 19%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo / Glimt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodo / Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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