Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.43
Over
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.92
2-3
37%
1.93
4-5
25%
2.65
6+
10%
6.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.92 — our 28% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
8%
11.9
X/X
13%
7.0
2/1
9%
19.15
2/2
8%
8.94
2/X
4%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Eintracht Frankfurt win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros The Market 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.21
+8% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.3 Crosses 10.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-0
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.43 xG 0.02
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
635 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt got the better of Ferencvaros 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 69% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 31%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 1.43 to 0.02.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ferencvaros?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Ferencvaros in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 53%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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