Elfsborg vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Elfsborg 1-0 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Elfsborg squeezed past Nice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Elfsborg had 32% of the ball to Nice's 68%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.68 to 1.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nice.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Nice?
Elfsborg 1-0 Nice in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Nice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 44%, draw 28%, Nice 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.