Lazio vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Lazio 3-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio saw off Real Sociedad 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lazio had 77% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 23%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.53 to 1.16.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Real Sociedad?
Lazio 3-1 Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lazio 41%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.