Ludogorets Razgrad 0-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No Pick
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.2
2-3
37%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.95
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
16%
6.03
X/2
17%
5.8
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.71
2/X
5%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland The Market 39%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.96
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
13.1 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Midtjylland
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.58 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
327 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2021 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland AVL
16.09.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad AVL
26.08.2020 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
0-2
AWAY Midtjylland
0.76 xG 2.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
426 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland beat Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Midtjylland made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 64% of the ball to Midtjylland's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.76 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Midtjylland?

Ludogorets Razgrad 0-2 Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 38%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
23 Jan 2025
00:00 Karabağ vs FCSB Analysis →
20:45 Viktoria Plzen vs Anderlecht Analysis →
20:45 Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Analysis →
20:45 Porto vs Olympiakos Analysis →
20:45 Malmö FF vs Twente Analysis →
20:45 AZ Alkmaar vs Roma Analysis →